Swiss National Bank Decision in June?
30%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase30%
- 25 bps decrease29%▲ 12
- No Change25%▼ 5
- 50+ bps increase17%▲ 5
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease4%
Install
Swiss National Bank Decision in March?
The odds
47%No Change
- No Change47%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase34%▼ 11
- 50+ bps decrease5%
- 25 bps decrease2%
- 50+ bps increase1%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
No Change: 72% on Oct 30, 47% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 47% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 48¢ | $8.0K |
| 25 bps increase | 34% | ▼ 11 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $5.9K |
| 50+ bps decrease | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $675 | |
| 25 bps decrease | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $482 | |
| 50+ bps increase | 1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $566 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Swiss National Bank decision in December?
88%No Change
- No Change88%
- 25 bps increase11%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Fed Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%▼ 11
- No change31%▲ 10
- 25 bps decrease1%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
97%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)97%▼ 1
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
9 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
Fed rate cut by...?
51%July 2027 Meeting
- July 2027 Meeting51%▼ 1
- April 2027 Meeting50%
- June 2027 Meeting30%
- March 2027 Meeting12%▼ 1
2 more
- January 2027 Meeting8%
- December 2026 Meeting2%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
66%chance▼ 12
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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