Core CPI YoY - October 2026

Polymarket Closes Tue 11:59 PM ET · $33.5K traded · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

2.6%median
2.15%3.15%
Median 2.6%Middle half 2.57% – 2.63%

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.53% on Oct 15, 2.6% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
≤2.2% 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.2K
2.3% <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.5K
2.4% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $2.0K
2.5% 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $3.5K
2.6% 86% ▼ 1 88¢ 92¢ $17.8K
2.7% 7% 6¢ 8¢ $2.3K
2.8% <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.6K
2.9% <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.2K
3.0% <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
≥3.1% <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.1K

More on this question

All inflation & jobs ›

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

26%Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
  • Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%26%▲ 14
  • Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%19%▲ 11
  • Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%12%▼ 3
  • Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%10%▼ 7
12 more
  • Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below8%▲ 8
  • Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above7%▲ 4
  • Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%3%▲ 1
  • Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below3%▼ 1
  • Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below3%▼ 2
  • Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3%2%
  • Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above2%▼ 2
  • Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above2%▼ 2
  • Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%1%▼ 1
  • Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%1%
  • Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above1%▼ 1
  • Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below1%
Kalshi 26%Closes Tue 8:25 AM ET · 45.5K contracts
^TNX−1.16%TIP+0.15%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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