Core CPI in October (In Oct 2026)
0.18%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.12% – 0.26%
Install
Core CPI in October (exact value) (In Oct 2026)
The odds
0.23%median
-0.25%0.55%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.16% – 0.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.08% on Oct 3, 0.23% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly -0.2% | 1% | 25¢ | 730 | ||
| Exactly -0.1% | 6% | ▲ 4 | 1¢ | 11¢ | 10.2K |
| Exactly 0.0% | 2% | 99¢ | 2.1K | ||
| Exactly 0.1% | 12% | 36¢ | 1.6K | ||
| Exactly 0.2% | 35% | ▼ 8 | 31¢ | 38¢ | 7.7K |
| Exactly 0.3% | 35% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 36¢ | 3.7K |
| Exactly 0.4% | 9% | 23¢ | 2.4K | ||
| Exactly 0.5% | 1% | 22¢ | 4.1K |
More on this question
All inflation & jobs ›October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
26%Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%26%▲ 14
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%19%▲ 11
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%12%▼ 3
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%9%▼ 8
12 more
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below8%▲ 8
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above8%▲ 4
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%3%▲ 1
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below3%▼ 1
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below3%▼ 2
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3%2%
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above2%▼ 3
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above2%▼ 3
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%1%▼ 2
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%1%
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above1%▼ 2
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below1%▼ 1
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
2.6%median
2.15%3.15%
Median 2.6%Middle half 2.57% – 2.63%
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
0.23%median
-0.05%0.65%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.16% – 0.3%
Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
2.81%median
1.9%3.6%
Median 2.81%Middle half 2.67% – 2.91%
Core CPI in November (In Nov 2026)
0.19%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.19%Middle half 0.12% – 0.27%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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