Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
<1%UBS
- Goldman Sachs91%▼ 3
- JPMorgan1%
- Morgan Stanley<1%
- UBS<1%
5 more
- Bank of America<1%
- Citigroup<1%
- Barclays<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
- Wells Fargo<1%
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UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?
The odds
18%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20269%
- June 30, 202718%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 17% on Oct 7, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $2.4K | |
| June 30, 2027 | 18% | ▲ 2 | 15¢ | 20¢ | $6.2K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
2%UBS
- US Bank9%▲ 6
- Wells Fargo3%
- BNP Paribas3%
- UBS2%
15 more
- RBC3%
- Goldman Sachs3%
- Truist3%
- Lloyds2%
- Scotiabank2%
- JPMorgan Chase2%
- Morgan Stanley2%
- Bank of America2%
- BMO2%
- BNY2%
- KeyBank2%
- Santander2%
- HSBC2%
- Citigroup2%
- Deutsche Bank2%
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
<1%UBS
- Goldman Sachs55%▼ 1
- Morgan Stanley36%▲ 1
- Bank of America1%
- UBS<1%
5 more
- JPMorgan<1%
- Citigroup<1%
- Barclays<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
- Wells Fargo<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
68%Apple
- Apple68%▲ 10
- NVIDIA31%▼ 11
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20268%▲ 5
- November 17, 202617%▲ 6
- November 18, 202621%▲ 2
8 more
- November 19, 202634%▼ 4
- November 20, 202645%▼ 12
- November 23, 202645%▼ 18
- November 24, 202650%▼ 23
- November 25, 202659%▼ 17
- November 30, 202660%▼ 22
- December 15, 202666%▼ 22
- December 31, 202666%▼ 25
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
83%SpaceX
- SpaceX83%▲ 13
- xAI20%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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