2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?

Kalshi Closed Thu 3:30 PM ET · 5.9K contracts

Settled 4.46%A day before, traders had a median of 4.56%

The last odds before it closed

4.49%median
4.43%4.67%
Median 4.49%Middle half 4.46% – 4.53%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.56% on Nov 5, 4.49% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Contracts
✓ 4.46% or above 94% 355
✗ 4.48% or above 60% 213
✗ 4.5% or above 54% 331
✗ 4.52% or above 35% 473
✗ 4.54% or above 29% 495
✗ 4.56% or above 6% 1.8K
✗ 4.58% or above 6% 631
✗ 4.6% or above 6% 605
✗ 4.62% or above 6% 291
✗ 4.64% or above 6% 100
✗ 4.66% or above 1% 600
✗ 4.68% or above —
✗ 4.7% or above —
✗ 4.72% or above —
✗ 4.74% or above —

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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