Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 1.3M contracts · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

76%Neros Technologies
  • Neros Technologies76%▲ 57
  • Unusual Machines27%▲ 1
  • Anduril16%▼ 1
  • OpenAI11%▼ 2
  • Performance Drone Works10%
  • TSMC9%▲ 2
  • Palantir9%▼ 1
  • Nvidia8%▼ 1
  • Anthropic7%▼ 2
  • Lockheed Martin7%▼ 2
  • Freeport-McMoRan7%▲ 1
  • Eli Lilly7%▼ 3
6 more
  • Micron6%▲ 1
  • Boeing6%▼ 1
  • Pfizer6%▼ 1
  • IonQ5%
  • TikTok US3%▼ 1
  • Spirit Airlines3%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Neros Technologies: 18% on Oct 13, 76% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
✓ Rigetti Computing 97% 60.0K
✓ D-Wave Quantum 97% 46.7K
✓ GlobalFoundries 94% 41.2K
Neros Technologies 76% ▲ 57 75¢ 87¢ 12.0K
Unusual Machines 27% ▲ 1 25¢ 29¢ 11.5K
Anduril 16% ▼ 1 15¢ 16¢ 211.8K
OpenAI 11% ▼ 2 10¢ 12¢ 96.3K
Performance Drone Works 10% 6¢ 13¢ 7.5K
TSMC 9% ▲ 2 8¢ 10¢ 31.7K
Palantir 9% ▼ 1 8¢ 9¢ 84.7K
Nvidia 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 8¢ 61.1K
Anthropic 7% ▼ 2 6¢ 8¢ 101.4K
Lockheed Martin 7% ▼ 2 6¢ 8¢ 61.2K
Freeport-McMoRan 7% ▲ 1 6¢ 8¢ 9.4K
Eli Lilly 7% ▼ 3 6¢ 7¢ 16.4K
Micron 6% ▲ 1 5¢ 7¢ 32.4K
Boeing 6% ▼ 1 4¢ 7¢ 29.8K
Pfizer 6% ▼ 1 4¢ 7¢ 12.0K
IonQ 5% 3¢ 6¢ 32.0K
TikTok US 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ 11.0K
Spirit Airlines 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ 317.5K

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%▲ 1
  • November 16, 20265%▼ 3
  • November 17, 202610%▲ 2
  • November 18, 202620%▼ 4
8 more
  • November 19, 202636%▼ 6
  • November 20, 202663%▲ 1
  • November 23, 202664%
  • November 24, 202673%▼ 7
  • November 25, 202675%▼ 12
  • November 30, 202683%▼ 4
  • December 15, 202688%▼ 1
  • December 31, 202691%▲ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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