Who will launch a token this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 96.6K contracts · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

23%Exponent
  • Exponent23%
  • Ostium13%▲ 3
  • OpenSea8%
  • Fomo8%▲ 1
  • Rabby6%▼ 1
  • Arc6%
  • MetaMask5%
  • Phantom5%
  • CME Group5%
  • Tempo5%
  • Felix4%▼ 3
  • Abstract4%▲ 1
2 more
  • Unit4%▼ 1
  • Base3%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Exponent: 14% on Oct 1, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Exponent 23% 21¢ 24¢ 9.9K
Ostium 13% ▲ 3 12¢ 14¢ 6.5K
OpenSea 8% 5¢ 11¢ 8.2K
Fomo 8% ▲ 1 6¢ 9¢ 7.7K
Rabby 6% ▼ 1 4¢ 8¢ 6.1K
Arc 6% 5¢ 7¢ 23.5K
MetaMask 5% 2¢ 8¢ 5.6K
Phantom 5% 2¢ 8¢ 3.6K
CME Group 5% 2¢ 8¢ 2.2K
Tempo 5% 2¢ 7¢ 2.4K
Felix 4% ▼ 3 3¢ 4¢ 4.8K
Abstract 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ 8.0K
Unit 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 5¢ 1.6K
Base 3% ▼ 2 1¢ 5¢ 6.5K

Related markets

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What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

$85,438high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,438 and as low as $75,365.

  • Reaches $82,50075%
  • Reaches $85,00054%
  • Reaches $87,50034%
  • Reaches $90,00023%
  • Falls to $77,50071%
  • Falls to $75,00047%
  • Falls to $72,50030%
  • Falls to $70,00018%

Already reached: ↑ 80,000, ↓ 77,500, ↑ 77,500, ↓ 77,500, ↓ 80,000

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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