by December 31, 2026: 3% on Oct 1, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by September 30, 2025 | <1% | 0¢ | $778.9K | ||
| by December 31, 2025 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.6M | ||
| by March 31, 2026 | <1% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | ||
| by June 30, 2026 | <1% | 0¢ | $22.1M | ||
| by December 31, 2026 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $2.9M | |
| by March 31, 2027 | 4% | ▲ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $4.8K |
| by June 30, 2027 | 10% | 9¢ | 11¢ | $11.1K | |
| by September 30, 2027 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $12.0K |
| by December 31, 2027 | 22% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $14.2K |
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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