Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
$497.8Bmedian
$450B$520B
Median $497.8BMiddle half $491.71B – $505.52B
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Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027
The odds
$131.67Bmedian
$114B$146B
Median $131.67B
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $120 billion | 70% | 69¢ | 70¢ | ||
| Above $126 billion | 62% | ▼ 38 | 61¢ | 62¢ | 1.00 |
| Above $128 billion | 57% | 56¢ | 58¢ | ||
| Above $130 billion | 53% | 52¢ | 53¢ | ||
| Above $132 billion | 50% | 49¢ | 50¢ | ||
| Above $134 billion | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | ||
| Above $140 billion | 35% | 32¢ | 37¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 10
- NVIDIA28%▼ 9
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
83%SpaceX
- SpaceX83%▲ 16
- xAI20%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20266%▲ 3
- November 17, 20268%▼ 2
- November 18, 202611%▼ 8
8 more
- November 19, 202620%▼ 16
- November 20, 202641%▼ 16
- November 23, 202648%▼ 17
- November 24, 202650%▼ 19
- November 25, 202659%▼ 14
- November 30, 202665%▼ 20
- December 15, 202673%▼ 16
- December 31, 202677%▼ 12
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%
- $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T16%
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 3
- $2.25–$2.5T5%▼ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2T.
- Reaches $1.5T82%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T50%
- Reaches $2.25T26%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance