Install
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 (garena quarterly paying users in Q4 2026)
The odds
70.64Mmedian
62.00M82.00M
Median 70.64MMiddle half 67.94M – 72.94M
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.60M on Oct 1, 70.64M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 66 million | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | 5.00 | |
| Above 70 million | 57% | 53¢ | 61¢ | 225 | |
| Above 74 million | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | 110 | |
| Above 78 million | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | 1.00 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › $40.17Bmedian
$35.5B$43.5B
Median $40.17BMiddle half $39.29B – $41.06B
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026
$165.53Bmedian
$154B$178B
Median $165.53BMiddle half $162.45B – $168.62B
Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 10
- NVIDIA28%▼ 9
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
81%SpaceX
- SpaceX81%▲ 14
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20267%▼ 3
- November 18, 202612%▼ 7
8 more
- November 19, 202619%▼ 17
- November 20, 202642%▼ 14
- November 23, 202649%▼ 16
- November 24, 202649%▼ 20
- November 25, 202659%▼ 14
- November 30, 202664%▼ 21
- December 15, 202673%▼ 16
- December 31, 202678%▼ 12
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%
- $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T16%
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 3
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance