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How low will the Nasdaq-100 get in 2026?
The odds
22%22,800 or below
Nasdaq 100 now 26,629.81 −6.36% - Falls to 22,80022%
- Falls to 22,60019%
- Falls to 22,40019%
- Falls to 22,20019%
- Falls to 22,00019%
How the odds have moved
Falls to 22,200: 6% on Oct 13, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22,000 or below | 19% | ▲ 11 | 17¢ | 22¢ | 12.7K |
| 22,200 or below | 19% | ▲ 12 | 18¢ | 26¢ | 6.8K |
| 22,400 or below | 19% | ▲ 11 | 20¢ | 23¢ | 5.6K |
| 22,600 or below | 19% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 15¢ | 10.9K |
| 22,800 or below | 22% | ▼ 2 | 20¢ | 23¢ | 23.2K |
More on this question
All indexes › 28,092median
18,50033,500
Median 28,092Middle half 25,628 – 29,918Above today's price 66%
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
6%31,400 or above
- Reaches 31,4006%
- Reaches 31,6005%
- Reaches 31,8004%
- Reaches 32,0004%
Already reached: 30,800 or above, 31,000 or above, 31,200 or above
Nasdaq-100 price range on Nov 6, 2026 at 4pm EST?
27,965median
27,90030,900
Median 27,965Middle half 27,932 – 27,997Above today's price —
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
87%chance▼ 7
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
86%S&P 500
- S&P 50086%▲ 1
- Gold9%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 5
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,569median
3,8009,200
Median 7,569Middle half 7,083 – 7,860Above today's price 64%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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