Match total payers in 2026

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2028 · 28.9K contracts · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

13.25Mmedian
12.20M14.00M
Median 13.25MMiddle half 12.99M – 13.53M

How the odds have moved

Median: 12.95M on Oct 5, 13.25M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 12.4 million 95% 92¢ 97¢ 6.7K
Above 12.6 million 92% 88¢ 95¢ 4.8K
Above 12.8 million 83% 80¢ 85¢ 3.9K
Above 13 million 75% 70¢ 79¢ 1.3K
Above 13.2 million 56% 51¢ 60¢ 1.1K
Above 13.4 million 34% 29¢ 38¢ 3.0K
Above 13.6 million 20% 16¢ 24¢ 276
Above 13.8 million 13% ▼ 1 10¢ 15¢ 7.9K

Related markets

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20261%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20265%▼ 5
  • November 18, 20269%▼ 9
8 more
  • November 19, 202621%▼ 16
  • November 20, 202639%▼ 19
  • November 23, 202648%▼ 19
  • November 24, 202649%▼ 20
  • November 25, 202660%▼ 13
  • November 30, 202663%▼ 19
  • December 15, 202672%▼ 17
  • December 31, 202672%▼ 19

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T26%▲ 2
  • $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
  • $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
  • $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 4
6 more
  • <$1.25T11%
  • $2.25–$2.5T4%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%▼ 1

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.01Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.01T.

  • Reaches $1.5T78%
  • Reaches $1.75T62%
  • Reaches $2T51%
  • Reaches $2.25T26%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance