Install
Fed funds rate at end of 2031
The odds
4%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 4%Middle half 1.3% – 5.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 4% on Oct 6, 4% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.00% | 85% | 80¢ | 95¢ | 362 | |
| Above 1.25% | 77% | 71¢ | 94¢ | 252 | |
| Above 1.50% | 66% | 59¢ | 90¢ | 170 | |
| Above 1.75% | 66% | 57¢ | 90¢ | 194 | |
| Above 2.00% | 66% | 64¢ | 90¢ | 79.00 | |
| Above 2.25% | 66% | 56¢ | 86¢ | 364 | |
| Above 2.50% | 66% | 55¢ | 80¢ | 233 | |
| Above 2.75% | 52% | 31¢ | 81¢ | 9.00 | |
| Above 3.00% | 51% | 32¢ | 81¢ | 130 | |
| Above 3.25% | 51% | 25¢ | 73¢ | 101 | |
| Above 3.50% | 51% | 24¢ | 51¢ | 123 | |
| Above 3.75% | 50% | 21¢ | 51¢ | 222 | |
| Above 4.00% | 50% | 20¢ | 52¢ | 322 | |
| Above 4.25% | 47% | 20¢ | 46¢ | 14.00 | |
| Above 4.50% | 35% | 14¢ | 46¢ | 72.00 | |
| Above 4.75% | 35% | 13¢ | 46¢ | 189 | |
| Above 5.00% | 31% | 11¢ | 46¢ | 990 | |
| Above 5.25% | 31% | 9¢ | 46¢ | 128 | |
| Above 5.50% | 31% | 46¢ | 255 | ||
| Above 5.75% | 25% | 25¢ | 22.00 | ||
| Above 6.00% | 4% | 8¢ | 333 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates › 3.71%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.71%Middle half 3% – 5.42%
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
3.69%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.69%Middle half 1.94% – 5.59%
Fed funds rate at end of 2033
3.53%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.53%Middle half 1.79% – 4.73%
Next Fed rate hike?
97%Before 2029
- Before 202997%▲ 1
- Before July 202895%
- Before 202887%▼ 7
- Before July 202786%▼ 5
1 more
- Before 202765%▼ 15
Next Fed rate cut?
84%Before July 2028
- Before July 202884%
- Before 202984%▼ 1
- Before 202856%▲ 1
- Before July 202739%▲ 3
1 more
- Before 20274%▼ 1
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
3.75%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.75%Middle half 2.52% – 4.96%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance