Fed funds rate at end of 2030

Kalshi Closes Dec 31, 2030 · 4.3K contracts · prices read just now

The odds

3.71%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.71%Middle half 3% – 5.42%

How the odds have moved

Median: 3.57% on Oct 2, 3.71% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 1.00% 83% 72¢ 98¢ 15.00
Above 1.25% 83% 83¢ 88¢ 629
Above 1.50% 83% ▲ 1 87¢ 92¢ 567
Above 1.75% 80% 46¢ 90¢ 277
Above 2.00% 75% 43¢ 93¢ 170
Above 2.25% 75% 43¢ 93¢ 113
Above 2.50% 75% 56¢ 86¢ 493
Above 2.75% 75% 61¢ 87¢ 103
Above 3.00% 75% 43¢ 89¢ 288
Above 3.25% 63% 31¢ 56¢ 1.00
Above 3.50% 63% 41¢ 60¢ 4.00
Above 3.75% 48% 21¢ 63¢ 39.00
Above 4.00% 48% 45¢ 62¢ 51.00
Above 4.25% 48% 19¢ 66¢
Above 4.50% 36% 23¢ 62¢ 4.00
Above 4.75% 31% 27¢ 38¢ 75.00
Above 5.00% 31% 17¢ 55¢ 290
Above 5.25% 27% 20¢ 52¢ 51.00
Above 5.50% 24% 18¢ 42¢ 643
Above 5.75% 21% 2¢ 27¢ 157
Above 6.00% 16% 27¢ 286

More on this question

All central banks & rates ›

Fed rate cut by...?

52%July 2027 Meeting
  • July 2027 Meeting52%▲ 1
  • April 2027 Meeting51%▲ 1
  • June 2027 Meeting31%▲ 1
  • March 2027 Meeting12%▼ 1
2 more
  • January 2027 Meeting8%
  • December 2026 Meeting2%
TLT+0.21%SPY−4.41%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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