Install
CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 (contracted power capacity in Q3 2026)
The odds
4.31median
3.605
Median 4.31Middle half 4.19 – 4.47
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.33 on Oct 13, 4.31 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.8 gw | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | 50.00 |
| Above 4 gw | 94% | 91¢ | 96¢ | 880 | |
| Above 4.2 gw | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | 523 | |
| Above 4.4 gw | 31% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | 940 |
| Above 4.6 gw | 14% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 15¢ | 410 |
| Above 4.8 gw | 14% | ▲ 2 | 12¢ | 18¢ | 60.00 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 65.6median
6074
Median 65.6
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
30%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202712%
- December 31, 202821%
- December 31, 202930%▲ 1
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?
39%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 202622%▲ 1
- March 31, 202731%
- June 30, 202739%
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)
4%CoreWeave
- Twilio98%▼ 1
- Cheniere Energy32%
- Astera Labs26%▲ 1
- CoreWeave4%
31 more
- Okta22%
- Credo Technology16%▲ 1
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals14%▼ 1
- MongoDB12%
- Affirm Holdings11%
- SoFi11%▼ 4
- HEICO9%▲ 1
- Rocket Companies9%▼ 1
- Southern Copper9%▼ 1
- LPL Financial9%
- ATI9%
- Tradeweb Markets9%
- Venture Global9%
- TPG9%
- Snowflake9%
- Atlassian9%
- Natera9%
- Talen Energy8%
- Curtiss-Wright7%
- Toast7%
- Cloudflare7%
- Zoom7%▼ 1
- Roblox6%
- BWX Technologies6%
- SpaceX6%
- Medline4%
- Circle Internet Group3%
- Guidewire Software3%
- Duolingo3%
- Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
- Cerebras2%
Will CoreWeave (CRWV) beat quarterly earnings?
51%chance▲ 39
Largest Company end of December 2026?
67%Apple
- Apple67%▲ 9
- NVIDIA31%▼ 10
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance