Reserve Bank of India decision in December
75%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase75%▼ 3
- No Change16%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase9%▲ 3
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December (Dec 4, 2026 meeting)
The odds
72%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps72%
- Maintain current rate16%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps7%▲ 2
- Cut more than 25bps3%▲ 2
- Cut 1-25bps3%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 64% on Oct 13, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 72% | 72¢ | 77¢ | 846 | |
| Maintain current rate | 16% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 20¢ | 1.8K |
| Hike more than 25bps | 7% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 9¢ | 579 |
| Cut more than 25bps | 3% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 3.7K | |
| Cut 1-25bps | 3% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 11.8K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Poland rate decision in December (Dec 2, 2026 meeting)
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%▼ 6
- Hike 1-25bps15%▲ 7
- Cut 1-25bps3%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps3%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 1
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in December (Dec 7, 2026 meeting)
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 1
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
90%No change
- No change90%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase8%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease2%
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
60%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase60%▼ 11
- No change28%▲ 4
- 50+ bps increase3%
- 25 bps decrease2%▲ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
New Zealand rate decision in December (Dec 8, 2026 meeting)
58%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps58%▼ 9
- Maintain current rate28%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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