Poland rate decision in December (Dec 2, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Closes Dec 2 · 126 contracts · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

77%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate77%▼ 6
  • Hike 1-25bps15%▲ 7
  • Cut 1-25bps3%▼ 1
  • Hike more than 25bps3%
  • Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 81% on Nov 1, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Maintain current rate 77% ▼ 6 77¢ 86¢ 75.00
Hike 1-25bps 15% ▲ 7 11¢ 20¢
Cut 1-25bps 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 5¢
Hike more than 25bps 3% 1¢ 5¢ 1.00
Cut more than 25bps 2% ▼ 1 5¢ 50.00

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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