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New Zealand rate decision in December (Dec 8, 2026 meeting)
The odds
65%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps65%▼ 1
- Maintain current rate32%▲ 7
- Hike more than 25bps2%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 65% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | 4.0K |
| Maintain current rate | 32% | ▲ 7 | 31¢ | 35¢ | 204 |
| Hike more than 25bps | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 401 |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | 2.8K | ||
| Cut more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | 2.0K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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