Predictions › Stocks & companies Big box credit card spend array index in November 2026 Kalshi Closes Dec 4 · prices read 23 min ago
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The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Apple 59% ▲ 19 NVIDIA 38% ▼ 21 Microsoft 2% ▲ 1 Alphabet 1% 4 more SpaceX <1% Tesla <1% Saudi Aramco <1% Amazon <1% November 15, 2026 1% November 16, 2026 5% ▼ 3 November 17, 2026 5% ▼ 4 November 18, 2026 20% ▼ 3 8 more November 19, 2026 36% ▼ 6 November 20, 2026 64% ▲ 1 November 23, 2026 65% November 24, 2026 69% ▼ 10 November 25, 2026 75% ▼ 9 November 30, 2026 83% ▼ 1 December 15, 2026 88% ▼ 1 December 31, 2026 91% SpaceX 67% ▲ 2 Anthropic 29% ▼ 1 xAI 21% OpenAI <1% 9 more ByteDance <1% Stripe <1% Databricks <1% SHEIN <1% Waymo <1% Revolut <1% Discord <1% Perplexity AI <1% Kraken <1% $1.5–$1.75T 28% ▲ 5 $1.75–$2.0T 23% ▼ 7 $1.25–$1.5T 18% ▲ 5 $2.0–$2.25T 17% 6 more <$1.25T 8% $2.25–$2.5T 5% ▲ 1 $2.5–$2.75T 2% $2.75–$3.0T 1% No IPO by December 31, 2027 1% $3.0T+ 1% ▼ 1 Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.08T .
Reaches $1.5T 93% Reaches $1.75T 79% Reaches $2T 62% Reaches $2.25T 26% Falls to $800B 2% Falls to $700B 2% Falls to $600B 1% Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
1.8T+ 47% ▼ 14 1.5–1.8T 28% ▼ 1 1.2–1.5T 15% ▲ 5 0.9–1.2T 4% ▲ 3 3 more No IPO by December 31, 2027 2% <0.6T 1% 0.6–0.9T 1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Carbon Arc
Trading closes Dec 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded —
Prices read 23 min ago
Followed since Nov 1, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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