Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
56%American Express
- American Express56%
- Stripe45%
Install
American Express cards-in-force in Q1 2027
The odds
54%Above 159 million
154.00M160.00M
How the odds have moved
Above 155 million: 95% on Oct 28, 95% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 155 million | 95% | ▼ 3 | 82¢ | 658 | |
| Above 156 million | 86% | 26.00 | |||
| Above 156.5 million | 77% | ▼ 25 | 2.00 | ||
| Above 157 million | 77% | 308 | |||
| Above 159 million | 54% | ▲ 14 | 14¢ | 23¢ | |
| Above 159.5 million | 54% | ▲ 87 | 9¢ | 27¢ | 255 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026
156.89Mmedian
155.00M164.00M
Median 156.89MMiddle half 156.38M – 158.00M
American Express headcount in fiscal 2026
76,500median
70,00081,000
Median 76,500Middle half 75,351 – 77,500
Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 16
- NVIDIA28%▼ 14
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 14
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20261%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20265%▼ 5
- November 18, 20269%▼ 9
8 more
- November 19, 202623%▼ 14
- November 20, 202641%▼ 18
- November 23, 202648%▼ 19
- November 24, 202650%▼ 19
- November 25, 202658%▼ 14
- November 30, 202663%▼ 20
- December 15, 202668%▼ 21
- December 31, 202668%▼ 23
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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