Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
33%↑165
- Reaches 165.0033%
- Reaches 170.003%
- Reaches 175.003%
- Reaches 180.003%
- Falls to 150.008%
- Falls to 140.006%
- Falls to 130.003%
- Falls to 120.002%
Already reached: ↑160
Install
USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
155.54median
USD/JPY now 157.8580 +0.13% 130.00190.00
Median 155.54Middle half 150.32 – 162.39Above today's price 39%
How the odds have moved
Median: 156.51 on Oct 13, 155.54 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <140 | 11% | 2¢ | 19¢ | $536 | |
| 140-150 | 12% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 19¢ | $200 |
| 150-160 | 48% | 38¢ | 50¢ | $2.6K | |
| 160-170 | 15% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $3.0K | |
| 170-180 | 9% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $169 | |
| 180+ | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $233 |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›USDJPY price on Nov 06 at 5:00 PM EDT (Nov 06, 2026 at 5pm ET)
51%Above 157.829
157.76157.84
Above today's price —
USD/JPY price on Nov 6, 2026 at 10am EST?
157.91median
156.50160.25
Median 157.91Middle half 157.51 – 158.91Above today's price 54%
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
77%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase77%▼ 12
- No change17%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 1
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
48%No Change
- No Change48%
- 25 bps increase40%▼ 2
- 25 bps decrease3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps increase3%
Bank of Japan Decision in January?
71%No Change
- No Change71%
- 25 bps increase26%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 1
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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