Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket Closes Jan 14, 2027 · $124.5K traded · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

54%↓ 7.00%

Traders see as low as 6.98%.

  • Reaches 7.5%42%
  • Reaches 7.75%15%
  • Reaches 8%15%
  • Falls to 7%54%
  • Falls to 6.75%13%
  • Falls to 6.5%9%
  • Falls to 6.25%8%
  • Falls to 6%7%
  • Falls to 5.9%5%
  • Falls to 5.7%2%
  • Falls to 5.5%2%

Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%

How the odds have moved

Falls to 6.5%: 22% on Oct 1, 9% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ 6.20% >99% 100¢ 100¢
✓ ↑ 6.30% >99% ▼ 2 100¢ 100¢ $29.4K
✓ ↑ 6.50% >99% ▲ 13 100¢ 100¢ $6.9K
✓ ↑ 6.75% >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $5.5K
✓ ↑ 7.00% >99% ▲ 10 100¢ 100¢ $8.0K
✓ ↑ 7.25% >99% ▲ 11 100¢ 100¢ $3.3K
↑ 7.50% 42% ▲ 1 27¢ 56¢ $3.5K
↑ 7.75% 15% ▼ 4 12¢ 17¢ $2.4K
↑ 8.00% 15% ▲ 1 13¢ 18¢ $2.0K
↓ 5.50% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $3.4K
↓ 5.70% 2% 0¢ 2¢ $13.1K
↓ 5.90% 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.6K
↓ 6.00% 7% 5¢ 9¢ $4.3K
✓ ↓ 6.00% >99% ▲ 27 100¢ 100¢ $673
↓ 6.25% 8% ▼ 10 5¢ 11¢ $5.4K
↓ 6.50% 9% ▼ 14 8¢ 10¢ $17.8K
↓ 6.75% 13% ▼ 13 10¢ 15¢ $6.8K
↓ 7.00% 54% ▼ 1 36¢ 71¢ $384

More on this question

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