Install
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
The odds
188.66Mmedian
176.00M198.00M
Median 188.66MMiddle half 187.28M – 189.55M
How the odds have moved
Median: 188.34M on Oct 3, 188.66M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 178 million | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 4.9K | |
| Above 180 million | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 6.0K | |
| Above 182 million | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 3.8K | |
| Above 184 million | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | 5.6K | |
| Above 186 million | 87% | ▼ 2 | 86¢ | 87¢ | 23.9K |
| Above 188 million | 69% | ▼ 1 | 68¢ | 69¢ | 18.8K |
| Above 190 million | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | 16.5K | |
| Above 192 million | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 1.8K | |
| Above 194 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 549 | |
| Above 196 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 12.5K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 103.5median
91117
Median 103.5Middle half 103.2 – 103.8
United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027
43.90Mmedian
40.50M47.00M
Median 43.90MMiddle half 42.90M – 44.67M
Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? (Q4 2026)
4%United Airlines Holdings▼ 4
- Deckers Outdoor84%
- The Cooper Companies79%
- The Carlyle Group78%
- United Airlines Holdings4%▼ 4
4 more
- DICK'S Sporting Goods77%
- Fidelity National Financial77%
- McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)75%
- Watsco56%
Will United Airlines shift its headquarters to Denver CO before 2027?
5%chance
United Airlines Credit Card Spend in November 2026
—
Largest Company end of December 2026?
71%Apple
- Apple71%▲ 15
- NVIDIA27%▼ 15
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance