Median: 14.82% on Oct 13, 12.65% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 8% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 99¢ | 50.00 |
| Above 10% | 93% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 98¢ | |
| Above 12% | 63% | ▼ 3 | 60¢ | 66¢ | 548 |
| Above 14% | 23% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 26¢ | 1.1K |
| Above 16% | 14% | ▼ 2 | 10¢ | 18¢ | 1.0K |
| Above 18% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | 208 |
| Above 20% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | 314 | |
| Above 22% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | 83.00 |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $614.47 and as low as $591.81.
Already reached: ↑ $640, ↑ $630, ↑ $620, ↓ $610, ↓ $600, ↓ $590
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $637.69 and as low as $553.81.
Already reached: ↓ $640, ↓ $620, ↓ $600, ↑ $620, ↑ $640, ↓ $620
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance