Install
Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 (gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027)
Settled Between $14.25B and $14.5BA day before, traders had a median of $14.48B
The last odds before it closed
How the odds have moved
Above $14.25 billion: 54% on Oct 13, 65% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above $13 billion | 95% | 214 | |||
| ✓ Above $13.25 billion | 95% | 202 | |||
| ✓ Above $13.5 billion | 90% | 1.5K | |||
| ✓ Above $13.75 billion | 91% | 1.4K | |||
| ✓ Above $14 billion | 85% | 2.6K | |||
| ✓ Above $14.25 billion | 99% | 4.6K | |||
| ✗ Above $14.5 billion | 69% | 1.5K | |||
| ✗ Above $14.75 billion | 20% | 2.6K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance