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American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
The odds
82.15%median
80%86%
Median 82.15%Middle half 81.72% – 82.63%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.81% on Sep 30, 82.15% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80.5% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 97¢ | 375 |
| Above 81% | 92% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 93¢ | 241 |
| Above 81.5% | 88% | 70¢ | 89¢ | 551 | |
| Above 82% | 58% | ▲ 11 | 56¢ | 60¢ | 16.3K |
| Above 82.5% | 32% | 31¢ | 32¢ | 15.0K | |
| Above 83% | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | 5.3K | |
| Above 83.5% | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | 5.0K | |
| Above 84% | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 5.8K | |
| Above 84.5% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 9.3K | |
| Above 85% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 9.6K | |
| Above 85.5% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 5.7K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 101.0median
95119
Median 101.0Middle half 99.9 – 102.1
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q1 2027
79.65%median
73.5%85.5%
Median 79.65%Middle half 78.64% – 80.64%
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
3%American Airlines
- Frontier Airlines9%▲ 1
- JetBlue6%▼ 1
- Allegiant5%
- American Airlines3%
1 more
- Alaska Airlines4%
American Airlines Credit Card Spend in November 2026
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 16
- NVIDIA27%▼ 14
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 14
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance