How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Polymarket Closes Dec 30 · $271.5K traded · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

39%Below 4.60%
30Y Yield now 5.251 −0.59%
4.4%5.3%

How the odds have moved

Below 4.60%: 2% on Oct 2, 39% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Below 4.60% 39% 4¢ 6¢ $31.4K
Below 4.80% 39% 13¢ 16¢ $21.5K
Below 4.90% 39% ▼ 1 12¢ 15¢ $23.4K
Below 4.95% 39% ▼ 2 12¢ 15¢ $22.4K
Below 5.00% 39% ▼ 1 23¢ 29¢ $31.7K
Below 5.05% 39% ▲ 6 35¢ 44¢ $32.8K
Below 5.10% 39% ▼ 8 35¢ 51¢ $34.7K
Below 5.15% 39% ▲ 4 54¢ 64¢ $34.2K
Below 5.20% 39% ▲ 10 81¢ 85¢ $29.8K
Below 5.25% 39% ▲ 6 91¢ 96¢ $9.6K

More on this question

All central banks & rates ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance