What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31 · $1.9M traded · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

4.31%high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 4.31%.

  • Reaches 4.25%67%
  • Reaches 4.5%2%
  • Reaches 4.75%2%
  • Reaches 5%2%
  • Reaches 5.25%2%
  • Reaches 5.5%2%
  • Falls to 3.25%2%
  • Falls to 3%2%
  • Falls to 2.75%2%
  • Falls to 2.5%2%
  • Falls to 2.25%2%
  • Falls to 2%2%
  • Falls to 1.75%2%
  • Falls to 1.5%2%

Already reached: ↓ 3.5%

How the odds have moved

Reaches 4.25%: 75% on Oct 13, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
↑ 4.25% 67% ▼ 10 65¢ 68¢ $154.6K
↑ 4.5% 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $52.6K
↑ 4.75% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $82.3K
↑ 5.0% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $21.2K
↑ 5.25% 2% 2¢ 3¢ $142.7K
↑ 5.5% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $58.8K
↓ 0% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $21.4K
↓ 0.25% 2% 2¢ 3¢ $132.6K
↓ 0.5% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $110.5K
↓ 0.75% 2% 0¢ 3¢ $762
↓ 1.0% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $2.5K
↓ 1.25% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $6.0K
↓ 1.5% 2% 2¢ 3¢ $28.4K
↓ 1.75% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $13.3K
↓ 2.0% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $23.7K
↓ 2.25% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $45.6K
↓ 2.5% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $233.7K
↓ 2.75% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $379.8K
↓ 3.0% 2% 1¢ 3¢ $325.3K
↓ 3.25% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $83.0K
✓ ↓ 3.5% >99% 100¢ 100¢ $9.0K

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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