Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?

Polymarket Closed today 12:00 PM ET · $1.0M traded

Settled Between $76,000 and $78,000A day before, traders had a median of $80,666

The last odds before it closed

$77,553median
$70,000$94,000
Median $77,553Middle half $76,696 – $78,677

How the odds have moved

Median: $78,063 on Oct 30, $77,553 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ 72,000 >99% $98.6K
✓ 74,000 >99% $71.1K
✓ 76,000 95% $83.4K
✗ 78,000 37% $162.3K
✗ 80,000 2% $100.1K
✗ 82,000 <1% $155.9K
✗ 84,000 <1% $142.9K
✗ 86,000 <1% $46.3K
✗ 88,000 <1% $22.4K
✗ 90,000 <1% $55.1K
✗ 92,000 <1% $82.1K

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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