Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
11%chance
Install
Nebraska corn yield in 2026
The odds
184.7median
165195
Median 184.7Middle half 180.4 – 189.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 177.1 on Oct 2, 184.7 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 170 bu/acre | 97% | ▲ 2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | 46.4K |
| Above 175 bu/acre | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | 14.3K | |
| Above 180 bu/acre | 77% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 78¢ | 31.4K |
| Above 185 bu/acre | 49% | 48¢ | 49¢ | 43.2K | |
| Above 190 bu/acre | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | 41.3K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US recession by end of 2026?
5%chance
Recession in 2027?
26%chance▲ 4
GDP growth in 2026
2.47%median
0%3%
Median 2.47%Middle half 2.22% – 2.74%
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
2.51%median
1%4.5%
Median 2.51%Middle half 1.9% – 3.68%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.19%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.19%Middle half 1.14% – 3.24%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance