Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12%chance▲ 1
Install
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
The odds
883,333median
500,0001.20M
Median 883,333Middle half 703,226 – 1.06M
How the odds have moved
Median: 855,882 on Oct 13, 883,333 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 600,000 bales | 90% | ▼ 3 | 89¢ | 90¢ | 4.4K |
| Above 700,000 bales | 76% | ▲ 5 | 74¢ | 77¢ | 8.0K |
| Above 800,000 bales | 60% | ▲ 4 | 57¢ | 63¢ | 5.0K |
| Above 900,000 bales | 48% | ▲ 4 | 46¢ | 50¢ | 13.8K |
| Above 1,000,000 bales | 31% | ▲ 3 | 28¢ | 33¢ | 16.1K |
| Above 1,100,000 bales | 21% | ▲ 4 | 20¢ | 21¢ | 12.6K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US recession by end of 2026?
5%chance▼ 1
Recession in 2027?
22%chance
GDP growth in 2026
2.47%median
0%3%
Median 2.47%Middle half 2.22% – 2.74%
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
2.44%median
1%4.5%
Median 2.44%Middle half 1.9% – 3.5%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.19%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.19%Middle half 1.14% – 3.23%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance