Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting? (December 2026 FOMC)

Kalshi Closes Dec 9 · 25.9K contracts · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

23%Beth Hammack
  • Beth Hammack23%▲ 8
  • Lisa Cook12%▼ 1
  • Michelle Bowman12%▼ 1
  • Lorie Logan12%▲ 2
  • Neel Kashkari11%
  • Christopher Waller8%
  • Michael Barr7%▼ 1
  • Anna Paulson7%
  • Philip Jefferson3%
  • Jerome Powell3%
  • John Williams3%
  • Kevin Warsh1%

How the odds have moved

Beth Hammack: 18% on Oct 29, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Beth Hammack 23% ▲ 8 22¢ 31¢ 892
Lisa Cook 12% ▼ 1 12¢ 17¢ 478
Michelle Bowman 12% ▼ 1 11¢ 17¢ 1.00
Lorie Logan 12% ▲ 2 9¢ 18¢ 572
Neel Kashkari 11% 10¢ 15¢ 1.00
Christopher Waller 8% 7¢ 11¢ 383
Michael Barr 7% ▼ 1 4¢ 12¢ 1.00
Anna Paulson 7% 4¢ 12¢ 5.00
Philip Jefferson 3% 7¢ 135
Jerome Powell 3% 7¢ 1.0K
John Williams 3% 6¢ 2.9K
Kevin Warsh 1% 2¢ 19.5K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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