How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)98%
- 1 (25 bps)2%▲ 1
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
9 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
Median: 0.02 on Oct 3, 0.03 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 cuts | 95% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 296.1K | |
| 1 cut | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | 127.2K | |
| 2 cuts | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 44.9K | |
| 3 cuts | 2% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | 34.9K |
| 4 cuts | 1% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 1¢ | 28.6K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance